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Predicting the Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic for the Low- and Middle-Income Countries

By Zhiwei Ding, Feng Sha, Bingyu Li, Jing Kong, Yi Zhang, Yip Paul, Zhouwang Yang

Posted 14 Aug 2020
medRxiv DOI: 10.1101/2020.08.13.20167064

This study predicts the maximum hospital demand and number of infections for the LMICs in the first wave of COVID-19 pandemic. The epidemic is estimated to impose health care burden excessively exceeding the current capacity of hospitals in many LMICs, especially in Honduras, Central African Republic and Colombia.

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