BackgroundTo control COVID-19 outbreak in Japan, sports and entertainment events were canceled in Japan for two weeks from 26 February to 13 March. It has been designated as voluntary event cancellation (VEC). ObjectThis study predicts the effectiveness of VEC enduring and after its implementation. MethodWe applied a simple susceptible-infected-recovery model to data of patients with symptoms in Japan during 14 January to VEC introduction and after VEC introduction to 8 March. We adjusted the reporting delay in the latest few days. ResultsResults suggest that the basic reproduction number, R0, before VEC introduced as 2.29 with a 95% confidence interval (CI) was [2.19, 2.37] and the effective reproduction number, Rv, after VEC introduced as 1. 99; its 95% CI was [1.71,2.23]. Discussion and ConclusionNo significant effect of VEC was observed.
- Downloaded 1,321 times
- Download rankings, all-time:
- Site-wide: 17,441
- In public and global health: 368
- Year to date:
- Site-wide: 16,651
- Since beginning of last month:
- Site-wide: 31,586
Downloads over time
Distribution of downloads per paper, site-wide
- 27 Nov 2020: The website and API now include results pulled from medRxiv as well as bioRxiv.
- 18 Dec 2019: We're pleased to announce PanLingua, a new tool that enables you to search for machine-translated bioRxiv preprints using more than 100 different languages.
- 21 May 2019: PLOS Biology has published a community page about Rxivist.org and its design.
- 10 May 2019: The paper analyzing the Rxivist dataset has been published at eLife.
- 1 Mar 2019: We now have summary statistics about bioRxiv downloads and submissions.
- 8 Feb 2019: Data from Altmetric is now available on the Rxivist details page for every preprint. Look for the "donut" under the download metrics.
- 30 Jan 2019: preLights has featured the Rxivist preprint and written about our findings.
- 22 Jan 2019: Nature just published an article about Rxivist and our data.
- 13 Jan 2019: The Rxivist preprint is live!