Author: Neil M. Ferguson

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Preprints

Suppression of COVID-19 outbreak in the municipality of Vo, Italy

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  • Site-wide: 97
  • In epidemiology: 20
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  • Site-wide: 385
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Estimates of the severity of COVID-19 disease

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  • Site-wide: 107
  • In epidemiology: 24
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 1,495
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Transmission of SARS-CoV-2 Lineage B.1.1.7 in England: Insights from linking epidemiological and genetic data

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  • Site-wide: 478
  • In infectious diseases: 168
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  • Site-wide: 104
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Genomics and epidemiology of a novel SARS-CoV-2 lineage in Manaus, Brazil

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  • Site-wide: 3,169
  • In epidemiology: 335
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Report 21: Estimating COVID-19 cases and reproduction number in Brazil

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  • Site-wide: 6,158
  • In epidemiology: 529
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 13,650
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Potential impact of novel diagnostics and treatments on the burden of antibiotic resistant in Escherichia coli

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  • Site-wide: 8,574
  • In epidemiology: 684
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 57,856
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  • Site-wide: 11,814

Estimating the health impact of vaccination against 10 pathogens in 98 low and middle income countries from 2000 to 2030

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  • Site-wide: 16,247
  • In public and global health: 341
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  • Site-wide: 48,058

The 2020 SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in England: key epidemiological drivers and impact of interventions

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  • Site-wide: 17,248
  • In epidemiology: 1,128
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 2,334
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  • Site-wide: 26,413

State-level tracking of COVID-19 in the United States

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  • Site-wide: 20,872
  • In public and global health: 415
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 36,331
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  • Site-wide: 13,140

A sub-national analysis of the rate of transmission of COVID-19 in Italy

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  • Site-wide: 22,519
  • In public and global health: 433
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 49,089
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  • Site-wide: 48,454

Short-term forecasts to inform the response to the COVID-19 epidemic in the UK

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  • Site-wide: 33,490
  • In epidemiology: 1,732
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 11,660
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  • Site-wide: 59,432

A COVID-19 Model for Local Authorities of the United Kingdom

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  • Site-wide: 34,208
  • In infectious diseases: 2,536
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 7,807
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  • Site-wide: 4,361

Age groups that sustain resurging COVID-19 epidemics in the United States

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  • Site-wide: 39,042
  • In epidemiology: 1,957
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 25,243
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  • Site-wide: 31,100

Impact of the Tier system on SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the UK between the first and second national lockdowns

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  • Site-wide: 55,106
  • In epidemiology: 2,520
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  • Site-wide: 7,745
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  • Site-wide: 74,706

Spatiotemporal Variability in Dengue Transmission Intensity in Jakarta, Indonesia

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  • Site-wide: 55,200
  • In epidemiology: 2,527
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 131,229
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  • Site-wide: 23,152

Eliminating yellow fever epidemics in Africa: vaccine demand forecast and impact modelling

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  • Site-wide: 69,054
  • In epidemiology: 3,017
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 126,128
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  • Site-wide: 28,623

How can the public health impact of vaccination be estimated?

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  • Site-wide: 110,699
  • In infectious diseases: 4,649
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 23,961
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  • Site-wide: 27,228

Using next generation matrices to estimate the proportion of cases that are not detected in an outbreak

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  • Site-wide: 111,132
  • In epidemiology: 4,650
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 24,161
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  • Site-wide: 95,539

The global burden of yellow fever

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  • Site-wide: 117,230
  • In infectious diseases: 4,826
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 84,519
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  • Site-wide: 97,718

Within-country age-based prioritisation, global allocation, and public health impact of a vaccine against SARS-CoV-2: a mathematical modelling analysis

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  • Site-wide: 119,806
  • In epidemiology: 5,009
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 29,250
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  • Site-wide: 91,973

Non-pharmaceutical interventions, vaccination and the Delta variant: epidemiological insights from modelling England's COVID-19 roadmap out of lockdown

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  • Site-wide: 152,565
  • In epidemiology: 6,289
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 141,875
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  • Site-wide: 10,934

Measuring vaccine efficacy against infection and disease in clinical trials: sources and magnitude of bias in COVID-19 vaccine efficacy estimates

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  • Site-wide: 152,716
  • In epidemiology: 6,300
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 145,541
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  • Site-wide: 13,417