Author: Neil M Ferguson

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Preprints

Suppression of COVID-19 outbreak in the municipality of Vo, Italy

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  • Site-wide: 128
  • In epidemiology: 29
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 630
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  • Site-wide: 2,346

Estimates of the severity of COVID-19 disease

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  • Site-wide: 145
  • In epidemiology: 33
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 2,738
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  • Site-wide: 4,799

Transmission of SARS-CoV-2 Lineage B.1.1.7 in England: Insights from linking epidemiological and genetic data

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  • Site-wide: 563
  • In infectious diseases: 209
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 2,075
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  • Site-wide: 2,917

Genomics and epidemiology of a novel SARS-CoV-2 lineage in Manaus, Brazil

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  • Site-wide: 3,175
  • In epidemiology: 354
• Year to date:
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Report 21: Estimating COVID-19 cases and reproduction number in Brazil

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  • Site-wide: 7,047
  • In epidemiology: 607
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 40,078
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  • Site-wide: 39,673

Potential impact of novel diagnostics and treatments on the burden of antibiotic resistant in Escherichia coli

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  • Site-wide: 10,452
  • In epidemiology: 801
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 72,011
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  • Site-wide: 76,393

The 2020 SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in England: key epidemiological drivers and impact of interventions

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  • Site-wide: 12,039
  • In epidemiology: 901
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 41,706
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  • Site-wide: 38,473

Estimating the health impact of vaccination against 10 pathogens in 98 low and middle income countries from 2000 to 2030

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  • Site-wide: 19,824
  • In public and global health: 407
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 112,968
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  • Site-wide: 106,669

Short-term forecasts to inform the response to the COVID-19 epidemic in the UK

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  • Site-wide: 24,831
  • In epidemiology: 1,576
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 19,591
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  • Site-wide: 14,914

State-level tracking of COVID-19 in the United States

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  • Site-wide: 24,899
  • In public and global health: 500
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 91,020
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  • Site-wide: 79,263

A sub-national analysis of the rate of transmission of COVID-19 in Italy

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  • Site-wide: 26,284
  • In public and global health: 532
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 90,982
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  • Site-wide: 87,590

A COVID-19 Model for Local Authorities of the United Kingdom

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  • Site-wide: 32,553
  • In infectious diseases: 2,867
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 42,824
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  • Site-wide: 46,605

Measuring vaccine efficacy against infection and disease in clinical trials: sources and magnitude of bias in COVID-19 vaccine efficacy estimates

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  • Site-wide: 41,529
  • In epidemiology: 2,152
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 44,208
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  • Site-wide: 64,857

Age groups that sustain resurging COVID-19 epidemics in the United States

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  • Site-wide: 44,202
  • In epidemiology: 2,210
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 84,525
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Non-pharmaceutical interventions, vaccination and the Delta variant: epidemiological insights from modelling England's COVID-19 roadmap out of lockdown

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  • Site-wide: 44,868
  • In epidemiology: 2,248
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 64,169
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  • Site-wide: 67,844

Impact of the Tier system on SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the UK between the first and second national lockdowns

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  • Site-wide: 53,044
  • In epidemiology: 2,676
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  • Site-wide: 52,278
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  • Site-wide: 18,757

Spatiotemporal Variability in Dengue Transmission Intensity in Jakarta, Indonesia

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  • Site-wide: 71,415
  • In epidemiology: 3,074
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 145,538
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  • Site-wide: 160,458

Using next generation matrices to estimate the proportion of cases that are not detected in an outbreak

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  • Site-wide: 71,433
  • In epidemiology: 4,046
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 23,073
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  • Site-wide: 16,154

Eliminating yellow fever epidemics in Africa: vaccine demand forecast and impact modelling

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  • Site-wide: 94,661
  • In epidemiology: 3,844
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 184,312
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  • Site-wide: 172,605

How can the public health impact of vaccination be estimated?

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  • Site-wide: 109,251
  • In infectious diseases: 5,171
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 109,284
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  • Site-wide: 99,736

Within-country age-based prioritisation, global allocation, and public health impact of a vaccine against SARS-CoV-2: a mathematical modelling analysis

• Downloaded 401 times
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  • Site-wide: 109,995
  • In epidemiology: 5,037
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 47,482
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  • Site-wide: 18,671

The global burden of yellow fever

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  • Site-wide: 112,264
  • In infectious diseases: 5,378
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 82,421
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  • Site-wide: 80,655

COVID-19 impact on routine immunisations for vaccine-preventable diseases: Projecting the effect of different routes to recovery

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  • Site-wide: 132,272
  • In public and global health: 1,986
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 9,715
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  • Site-wide: 41,084

Vaccine Equity in Low- and Middle-Income Countries: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

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  • Site-wide: 133,671
  • In public and global health: None
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 9,970
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  • Site-wide: 8,140

COVID-19 in Japan: insights from the first three months of the epidemic

• Downloaded 133 times
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  • Site-wide: 181,075
  • In epidemiology: 7,129
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 33,273
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  • Site-wide: 106,288

Prophylactic and reactive vaccination strategies for healthcare workers against MERS-CoV

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  • Site-wide: 181,346
  • In epidemiology: None
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 33,795
• Since beginning of last month:
  • Site-wide: 37,305